Ticking Time Bombs: On Being Surprised – Or Not – By the Next Big Threat
Grant Year: 2018
Andrew Hoehn, Sonni Efron, and Thom Shanker will research and write a book exploring how U.S. policymakers could increase their capacity to anticipate and preclude strategic surprises. They will conduct research using primary and secondary sources, undertake interviews of former and current intelligence analysts and policymakers, and analyze the dynamics of warning and surprise.
The RAND Corporation International Security & Foreign Policy