Katherine Kuzminski will examine the challenges that the U.S. military is facing in meeting its recruitment goals. She will review enlistment data, interview officials at the Department of Defense, and field a survey of young people to assess their views on enlistment. The project’s findings will appear in a report.
Emily Kilcrease and John Hughes will lead an effort to develop a doctrine for the use of economic sanctions. They will undertake a series of quantitative and qualitative case studies of past sanctions campaigns and will interview experts, former and current policymakers, and private-sector actors. The project’s findings will be presented in a report.
Vivek Chilukuri will assess the evolution of China’s Digital Silk Road, which focuses on building out and controlling global digital infrastructure, and explore options that the United States could pursue to counter its impacts. The project’s findings will appear in a series of reports.
Katherine Kuzminski will lead an effort to assess whether U.S. draft mobilization could support a deterrent strategy and to identify what institutional improvements should be made to ensure that a draft can support the mobilization of an effective fighting force should deterrence fail. The project’s findings will appear in a report.
Richard Fontaine will lead an effort to explore how the United States might best compete for alignment with countries, such as Brazil, India, Indonesia, South Africa, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia, whose national security choices could have a pivotal impact on regional or global great power competition. The project’s findings will appear in a report and a series of papers.
Anthony Vinci will research and write a book assessing how the U.S. intelligence community could be reformed to more effectively meet the challenges of great power competition. He will identify weaknesses in the U.S. intelligence community; explore historical patterns of successful transformation; and develop recommendations for structural, organizational, operational, technological, and cultural reforms.
Emily Kilcrease will assess a variety of strategic, operational, and tactical plans for employing coercive economic measures in a prospective geopolitical crisis with China. She will engage in an economic data-mapping exercise; hold interviews with policymakers, academic experts, and private-sector actors in the United States and major allies; and organize workshops for scenario exercises. The project’s findings will be presented in a report.
Lisa Curtis will examine the prospects for military conflict between India and China and assess a variety of options for how U.S. policymakers might respond to such a scenario. She will analyze Indian and Chinese official documents and secondary source literature on China-India relations; organize roundtables and workshops; and conduct field work in India and Track II meetings with Chinese experts. The project’s findings will be presented in a report.
Stacie Pettyjohn will assess the role that unmanned aerial vehicles could play in a U.S.–China conflict. She will examine the proliferation of drone technology; study how drones were used during conflicts in Libya, Nagorno-Karabakh, and Ukraine; organize a war game on prospective roles for drones in a U.S.–China conflict; and travel to Japan and Taiwan to solicit regional input. The project’s findings will be presented in a report.